Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 4.898889e-01 0.652726 0.839791 1.067269 1.333147 1.630991 1.986755
2025-02-16 2.168097e-01 0.385432 0.614203 0.931212 1.343708 1.848037 2.496883
2025-02-23 9.879709e-02 0.250179 0.497047 0.884825 1.438262 2.163398 3.148995
2025-03-02 3.811942e-02 0.157135 0.399242 0.832111 1.505509 2.442389 3.774561
2025-03-09 1.728998e-02 0.119813 0.374449 0.878170 1.711611 2.919060 4.686871
2025-03-16 5.034433e-03 0.081273 0.326616 0.870457 1.829893 3.276834 5.455574
2025-03-23 1.709531e-03 0.067150 0.325051 0.943286 2.079906 3.837149 6.528258
2025-03-30 2.783753e-04 0.052514 0.313121 0.991296 2.290280 4.347184 7.548001
2025-04-06 6.980735e-07 0.038239 0.291582 1.012750 2.453869 4.791290 8.486382
2025-04-13 NaN 0.023389 0.252479 0.983890 2.521699 5.086440 9.214245
2025-04-20 NaN 0.015630 0.232542 0.993703 2.658277 5.493074 10.116156
2025-04-27 NaN 0.010168 0.215296 1.004941 2.796131 5.904867 11.034788
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004477 0.179935 0.958338 2.819533 6.136410 11.699174
2025-05-11 NaN 0.001530 0.149801 0.915133 2.843432 6.368352 12.370924
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000539 0.135036 0.914979 2.956153 6.754823 13.292385
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000062 0.114311 0.885448 3.000975 7.024126 14.035865
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000024 0.117655 0.947371 3.253990 7.666830 15.384293
2025-06-08 NaN NaN 0.106226 0.946800 3.364280 8.059437 16.341809
2025-06-15 NaN NaN 0.113850 1.028164 3.669058 8.807820 17.882472
2025-06-22 NaN NaN 0.114925 1.081462 3.910736 9.448255 19.259506
2025-06-29 NaN NaN 0.109733 1.105549 4.084645 9.970455 20.454290
2025-07-06 NaN NaN 0.094275 1.075629 4.126307 10.252503 21.264412
2025-07-13 NaN NaN 0.087780 1.086439 4.267082 10.719105 22.381822